Progressive Sports Betting Systems

A while back I was at a crossroads with my sports betting career. After more than 20 years of betting on sports here in Reno, things were becoming a bit stale for me.

So I decided to climb out of my sports betting box that I had been hiding out in and consider some betting alternatives.

I had seen and heard of these sports betting systems that were floating around on the internet that claimed to win 97% of their bets.

Since I had been around the sports betting block more than a few times, I considered these types of outlandish assertions to be ridiculous at best.

I know from spending years in the sports betting trenches how challenging it can be to handicap above the 52.38% break-even point.

Still, I was insanely curious.

In order to satisfy my inquiring mind, I went ahead and bought 3 of these systems.

They were kind of expensive, each priced between $100 and $200.

I not only bought these systems but have field tested them with cold hard cash out in the real world of sports betting.

After familiarizing myself with each of the three systems, I discovered that, for the most part, they were all based on fairly firm foundations.

Frank Belanger of Bookie Buster and Rich Allen of Sports Betting Professor both run legitimate business.

John Morrison of Sports Betting Champ runs anything but a legitimate business.

Although his system itself has some merit, my personal experience was that his honesty and integrity leave much to be desired.

He would make a world class con-artist look like a choir boy.

Bookie Buster is actually a rehash of 25 different systems (many of them the progressive type) that opened my mind to some creative ways to bet.

Both the Sports Betting Champ and Sports Betting Professor systems are progressive betting systems.

‘Progressive’ is a very polarizing term when it comes to sports betting. You are either a big fan or consider these types of systems to be gimmicky at best.

The way these systems are able to win over 90% of their bets is not with the individual picks but with a series of progression bets that constitute a betting session.

For example, Sports Betting Professor is a 3 game, “Martingale” type of progression.

If you win the 1st game in the series the betting session or progression is over and you pocket 1 unit of profit.

If you lose that 1st game then you bet the next game in the progression for an amount to recoup your loss from bet #1 as well as your original target win amount which would vary depending on your bankroll.

If the that 2nd wager goes down then the 3rd bet is made to recoup the losses from the first 2 wagers plus the original target win amount.

If the 3rd bet loses, it goes down as a system loss. You take your lumps and start over with a new betting session.

The beauty of a betting system like this is that since you don’t take any losses you are never paying any juice or vig.

Here’s the catch….

Although a system like this is designed in such a way as to rarely lose 3 games in a row, it does happen. If it happens too often during a season, most if not all of your hard won profits go down the drain.

Much that you read about progressive betting systems, whether they pertain to roulette, craps, blackjack or sports betting has a negative tone to it.

Many so called betting experts are very quick to point out that these systems eventually fail because of factors such as….

» A long losing streak will eventually wipe out your bankroll

» House betting limits will be reached before the progression ends

» Undisciplined bettors unable to stick with the system as the bet sizes rise

With a 3 game progression, the first point should never be an issue if the proper percentage of the bankroll is being risked.

The 2nd factor does not apply to sports betting like it would to a casino table game since you can always place more than one wager on the same team.

The 3rd issue is a valid one and is the overwhelming reason these systems do not work for more than 90% of sports bettors who try them out.

It’s usually operator error that is the downfall of the system; not the system itself.

The discipline in sports betting

The discipline is everything in sports betting and this is a rule that anyone who deals with betting predictions on sporting events must remember all the time. In fact, the discipline is much more important than the betting system which the player uses as with it at least you can guarantee you are not going to lose any money.

Few days ago I came across an article which I will try to retell you here. The author explained his betting system to select football matches to bet on Over 2.5 goals scored in the match by both teams.

Just a note here, actually I am not convinced that this system would be profitable, but I am pretty sure this player will be successful, because I see his method of betting. He put the discipline above everything else.

So what it is about? Firstly, he chooses only matches from the five strongest football leagues in Europe – Premier League, Primera division, Bundesliga, Serie A and French Ligue 1. Then, he selects only matches in which the odds for Over 2.5 goals scored by both teams in the match are between 1.6 and 2.2. If there are no such odds he just doesn’t bet on the match, no matter how tempting it is.

When he finds such match he adds some additional filters, which decide will a bet be made or not. The first of these filters are connected with the home team. A necessary condition in the hosts last three matches to be scored at least 7 goals by both teams. Also the hosts must have scored in each of those three matches and have scored at least three goals in their last two matches.

For the guests the requirements are associated with more than 7 goals scored in their last three away matches and to have at least two of those three matches ended with more than 2.5 goals scored by both teams.

Only if he finds such match he makes a bet.

According to the player he makes some profit with this betting system, but it has little significance for me, since if he plays with discipline, it won’t be problem at least not to lose. This in turn is good enough because he gains valuable experience that will be useful in the future.