Anatop – Betting help

Ryan Giggs found out how difficult it is being a manager after his side were beaten by relegation threatened Sunderland 1-0 in their last match at home. That was after his first match in charge when they beat Norwich 4-0 previously.

The defeat to Sunderland was their 7th defeat at home this season and after that Patrick Evra stated that defeat just adds up to their “nightmare” season they are currently facing. The Red Devils have now won just two of their last six home matches in the Premiership, with the three others ending in defeats. On Tuesday night they will play their final home match this season and despite the defeat last weekend, they are still the firm favourites against Hull City.

For the record, Manchester United have won their last six league matches against Hull and that also includes all the five other times they have met in the Premiership. Wayne Rooney is the favourite to score here as he has scored six goals in four Premier League appearances against Hull. Four of them came in January 2010 in just one match alone. Ironically, that was the only time that Rooney has scored more than three goals in a Premier League match.

Interestingly, Manchester United’s home defeat is the most they have suffered in the top division of English football since the 1973/74 season. They have suffered more defeats at home compared to the likes of Norwich and West Brom.

In their last six Premier League games, Manchester United have either scored four goals in a game or have failed to score and have lost (W3 L3). United did win this match by 4-0 last season and they have scored four or more in each of their last three home games against Hull in all competitions. You can at least expect them to get a good win here in their final match at home and could also look at over 2.5 goals as well.

Bonus Ohne Einzahlung 2016

Meanwhile for Hull, in their last seven matches they have only managed one win and lost the other four. They are also in the FA Cup Final where they will face Arsenal. They are assured of another season in the Premiership but on their travels have only managed three wins all season. In their last four games, they have only managed one point which is a bit disappointing. Last weekend they were beaten heavily by Aston Villa so it will be seen if they can rise from that defeat to produce a shock here.

But most importantly, Hull haven’t won any of their last ten league matches at Old Trafford, and have lost nine of them. In those ten games they have yet to keep a clean sheet as well and were breached at least 30 times. That all points to a United win here and could also be a big win here in United’s last match at Old Trafford before the season comes to an end.

Form:

Man Utd – DWLLWL

Hull – LWWLDL

Prediction:

Go for Manchester United and give the 1 1/2 ball.

If you look closely, you can see that the system had 28 wins and 0 losses for the two month period.

That is also 28 net units won because there was no “juice” paid out for any losers.

I began with a $1,000 bankroll and risked 2% of it as my target win amount.

The reason for this percentage is that if things do progress to a 3rd bet, I would have been risking $97.02 which is about 10% of the total bankroll.

As you can see, things only came down to a C bet six times over the two month period.

This is exactly where sports bettors run into trouble with a progressive system like this.

Sometimes they just don’t have the balls to make that 3rd wager when it is called for.

This can happen when they set their initial target win amount way too high in proportion to their available bankroll.

Notice that I won a total of $560 for the last two months of the 2010 NBA season. That doesn’t sound like a lot but keep in mind I was only betting to win $20 which was 2% of my $1,000 bankroll.

That works out to a 56% ROI over two months.

The individual plays were 28-18 ATS. The truth is that almost any betting system will win with 61% winners!

Although I happened to jump on the SBP system during a really good run, you can see that a progressive system like this could work out with a much lower percentage of winners.

With an overall lower percentage, the number of betting session wins would obviously accumulate at a slower pace.
2013 Sports Betting Professor Update

The Sports Betting Professor NBA system has performed pretty well since the latter part of 2010 (that’s how long I’ve been following and using it).

Below are the past 3 years results for the SBP NBA Original System (not including the NBA playoffs)….

2010-11 70-6 +28 units
2011-12 57-6 +15 units
2012-13 58-8 +2 units

Keep in mind the Won-Lost numbers above are the progression or “betting session” wins and losses as explained further up in this article.

Each time the system loses 3 games in a row, that accounts for 1 progression loss, which amounts to losing 7 units.

Ouch!

The 2012-13 season started off like gangbusters racking up a 44-1 progression record by February 5th. It was up +37 units!

Then the shit hit the fan with 7 progression, or C bet, losses over the remaining two months of the season.

There are of course many different types of progressive betting systems other than the simple “Martingale” that I illustrate here.

In order for a progressive system like this to work there are 2 sets of criteria….

» A way to identify picks that consistently avoids longish losing streaks

» The ability to manage your bankroll and emotions like a monk

As you might guess, the second of the two is the more difficult to master.

My suggestion would be to stay away from progressive betting systems unless you have the required emotional make-up and bankroll discipline.

The truth is that most bettors don’t!